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Toledo area weather forecast for Oct 29-30, 2012

Remnants of Hurricane Sandy combining with another weather system will produce some breezy conditions in northwest Ohio.

  • High Wind Warning - updated at 9:49 p.m., Sun, Oct 28.
    • In effect from Noon Monday to 4:00 p.m. Tuesday.
    • Winds north to northwest 30 to 40 mph with gusts 55 to 60 mph.
  • Lakeshore Flood Warning - updated at 9:37 p.m., Sun, Oct 28.
    • In effect from Noon Monday to 8:00 p.m. Tuesday.
    • Lake Shore flooding ... north to northwest gale force winds overnight will increase Monday to storm force of 58 mph or greater and continue into Tuesday.
    • The strong winds will cause water levels to rise on the South Shore of Lake Erie at least 3 feet and possibly higher.
    • Large waves up to 15 feet on top of the 3 foot rise in water level from the seiche will have the potential to cause flooding and extensive erosion along the shoreline.
    • Impacts... potential flooding in bays, inlets, and in areas normally protected by break walls. Also extensive erosion of beaches and shoreline areas will be likely. Possible damage to structures in the water and along the beach such as boats... boathouses... piers and docks. There is a potential that Interstate 90 in Cleveland could be impacted by the high water and large waves as well.


Near shore marine forecast issued at 9:24 p.m. on Sun, Oct 28, 2012 for waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie:

  • ...small craft advisory in effect through monday morning...
  • ...storm warning in effect from monday afternoon through tuesday morning...
  • overnight...north winds to 30 knots. rain. waves 9 to 12 feet.
  • monday...north gales to 35 knots increasing to 40 knots. rain. waves 13 to 17 feet.
  • monday night...northwest storm force winds to 50 knots. rain. waves 17 to 20 feet.
  • tuesday...northwest storm force winds to 50 knots becoming north gales to 45 knots in the afternoon. rain. waves 15 to 19 feet. see lake erie open lakes forecast for wednesday through friday.
  • the water temperature off toledo is 52 degrees...off cleveland 57 degrees and off erie 57 degrees.


Toledo area forecast issued at 9:40 p.m. on Sun, Oct 28:

  • Overnight: Cloudy. A chance of rain late this evening...then rain likely. Breezy with lows in the upper 30s. North winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
  • Monday: Cloudy. Rain likely...mainly in the morning. Windy with highs in the upper 40s. North winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
  • Monday Night: Rain. Very windy with lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 30 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.
  • Tuesday: Rain. Very windy with highs in the mid 40s. North winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.


As of Sunday night, no flood watch exists for our area. Most of the heavier rain is forecast to occur in eastern Ohio.


Area forecast discussion issued by the Cleveland National Weather Service at 10:12 p.m. on Sun, Oct 28:

we are also starting to notice stronger winds occurring along the axis from the lake south through cleveland and mansfield. we are concerned about these stronger winds that have been peaking out at around 40 mph...especially near the lake. this is much higher than what some of the text guidance suggests we should be seeing at this time. thinking is winds may increase a lot faster than forecast. so we are keeping a close eye on the winds.

created by jr on Oct 28, 2012 at 11:24:54 pm
updated by jr on Oct 28, 2012 at 11:54:44 pm
    Outdoors     Comments: 13

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Comments ... #

JESUS CHRIST.

I'm just picturing large waves crashing on I-90... it'd have to be around the power plant/yacht club though as the rest is protected by the breakwall, including the airport... I think. If those are being breached, then Cleveland's pretty fucked.

I HAVE seen rocks being thrown up on the road at the former Lighthouse Marina in Marblehead.

ODOT stupidly took down the message signs for the Edison Bridge. Any bets on them closing the bridge?

Wonder if the railroad will have any trains blow off the tracks into Sandusky Bay. Usually they park a loaded coal train upwind and run around it. I got the feeling that might not be enough this time.

posted by anonymouscoward on Oct 29, 2012 at 12:14:55 am     #  

http://twitter.com/ODOT_Toledo

http://outages.firstenergycorp.com/oh.html

posted by jr on Oct 29, 2012 at 12:41:21 am     #  

10 years ago when ever we got a storm with NE winds it would flood the field behind our house, it if blew ENE and hard enough it would fill our garage with water. Since then the lake levels have gone down about 2-3 feet, I am not too worried anymore about horrible floods. If nothing else high water means some of the folks can get their boats out of the mud and up out of the water.

posted by Linecrosser on Oct 29, 2012 at 03:54:39 am     #  

Reporting stations on and around the Great Lakes

Between 6:00 p.m. and 7:00 p.m., South Bass Island recorded wind speeds of 45 to 50 mph. Marblehead recorded 38 to 47 mph. And Toledo Light No. 2 recorded 40 to 48 mph.


Power outages are increasing in the Cleveland area.
http://outages.firstenergycorp.com/oh.html


Statements from the National Weather Service that apply to the northwest Ohio area.

NWS statement at 3:14 pm edt mon oct 29 2012

...high wind warning remains in effect until 4 pm edt tuesday...

  • winds...north 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph...especially
    near lake erie.
  • impacts...numerous trees and utility lines will be downed.
    power and travel will be interrupted in some places. roof damage
    and other structural damage may occur. loose objects will be
    blown around. the long duration of the event will likely result
    in locally significant damage.


coastal hazard message
national weather service cleveland oh
357 pm edt mon oct 29 2012

a lakeshore flood warning remains in effect until 8 pm edt
tuesday.

  • lake shore flooding...north to northwest storm force winds of 58
    mph or greater are expected by late this evening and will
    continue into tuesday. the strong winds will cause water levels
    to rise on the south shore of lake erie at least 3 feet and
    possibly higher. large waves of 16 to 22 feet on top of the 3
    foot rise in water level will have the potential to cause
    flooding and extensive erosion along the shoreline.
  • impacts...potential flooding in bays...inlets and in areas
    normally protected by break walls. also extensive erosion of
    beaches and shoreline areas will be likely. possible damage to
    structures in the water and along the beach such as boats...
    boathouses...piers and docks. there is a potential that
    interstate 90 in cleveland could be impacted by the high water
    and large waves as well.


Toledo area forecast:

Tonight: Rain. Very windy with lows in the mid 30s. North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

Tuesday: Rain. Very windy with highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

posted by jr on Oct 29, 2012 at 07:24:55 pm     #  

short term forecast
national weather service cleveland oh
833 pm edt mon oct 29 2012

including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...sandusky...lorain...cleveland ...

bands of rain will continue to travel west across the area this
evening. some of these bands will produce heavy rainfall..with
rainfall rates up to three quarters of an inch per hour.

winds will continue to increase tonight...with wind gusts up to 65 mph
along the lakeshore and 55 mph further inland.


The drive home this evening on Route 2 in western Ottawa and eastern Lucas counties was a bit bumpy. But once in Oregon, then no problem.

posted by jr on Oct 29, 2012 at 09:31:45 pm     #  

This is from the Lake Erie FB page. Picture taken around 5p today. Their caption..."Lake Erie is angry today!!!"

posted by RBancroft on Oct 29, 2012 at 10:38:04 pm     #  

I saw that photo and more on this page:

http://www.cleveland.com/weather/blog/index.ssf/2012/10/upload_your_hurricane_sandy-re.html


Power outages are being reported in Lucas County.

http://outages.firstenergycorp.com/oh.html

posted by jr on Oct 29, 2012 at 10:58:16 pm     #  

First Energy outage map reports 4,661 Lucas County customers are affected.

At 10:45 pm, Oct 29, 2012, station THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 out in Lake Erie reported a wind gust of 65 mph with sustained winds of 48 mph.

At 11:00 p.m., the Huron, Ohio station reported a wind gust of 62 mph.

It's even a little breezier in the Cleveland area.

At 11:24 p.m., the station in Cleveland reported a wind gust of 67 mph with sustained winds of 52 mph.

posted by jr on Oct 29, 2012 at 11:53:45 pm     #  

gah, the hub and I both have to go out to help others get to appointments this morning, hope its not too bad. He said it was sleeting when he went out for the paper at 7 (Lake Twp). Haven't heard the school buses so I'm assuming they're delayed. Looks like it should just be rain by sunup per Weather Channel. Glad I'm not going across the big bridge. Be careful out there!!

posted by nana on Oct 30, 2012 at 07:45:13 am     #  

Some sleet-ish / freezing rain-ish stuff in West Toledo at 8:00 am. The gusts are probably in the 40-45 mph range at the moment, and the high number of branches on the ground in my yard probably reflects the increased likelihood that power outages are going to start climbing in this area. We had a few flickers already this morning.

posted by historymike on Oct 30, 2012 at 08:30:56 am     #  

yowza

posted by upso on Oct 30, 2012 at 08:37:10 am     #  

Big Bridge was not a problem this morning. Expected to see more tree limbs down, but that could be due to the lack of leaves left and weight.

posted by Hoops on Oct 30, 2012 at 09:08:32 am     #   1 person liked this

In the Toledo area, the winds were not as strong as forecast, and the strong winds that we had did not last as long as originally forecast. It's worse in the Cleveland area.

Right now, First Energy reports 81 Lucas County customers are without power. In Cuyahoga County, 166,132 customers are without power. 31,435 customers are affected in Lake County. 23,777 customers in Lorain County.

Parts of I-90 in the Cleveland area were closed because of high water from Lake Erie.

posted by jr on Oct 30, 2012 at 10:24:14 am     #  

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