As of Monday morning, March 4, most of the snow (6 to 9 inches) is expected to fall south of Wood County. The northern edge of the Winter Storm Watch box ends with the Ohio counties along the Michigan border. Monroe County is not under any type of weather watch or advisory.
Even if Toledo gets some snow, it will be the heavy, wet snow, since temps are expected to be around 32 degrees. And it will warm into the mid to upper 30s on Wednesday and Thursday and into the 40s for the weekend, so it will be sloppy and messy if we get snow.
Last week was horrible with the wet snow, rain, slush, puddles, and overall mess. If it's going to be this "warm," I prefer we get rain or no snow/slop.
Update: Mon, Mar 4 3:45 p.m. statement. NWS changed from a Winter Storm Watch to a Winter Weather Advisory. 3 to 6 inches of snow is forecast for the region.
The Mon, Mar 4 3:36 p.m. forecast for Toledo calls for less than an inch of snow accumulation on Tuesday afternoon and 2 to 4 inches of snow accumulation from Tuesday evening to Wednesday morning. So we may get 3 or 4 inches of snowfall.
Update: Tue, Mar 5 3:46 a.m. statement. Snow is expected to begin late this afternoon. Snow could be heavy at times tonight. Snow will taper off on Wednesday morning. Accumulations are forecast to be 3 to 5 inches. Temps in the low 30s. Winds northeast at 15 to 25 mph. With the wet snow and brisk winds, the east and north sides of tree trunks, signs, and other structures should have a nice plastering of snow.
Update: Tue, Mar 5 11:49 a.m. forecast calls for a total snow accum of 1 to 3 inches in the Toledo area.
Update: Tue, Mar 5 9:03 p.m. - Late this afternoon or early this evening, the Winter Weather Advisory for Lucas County was cancelled. It still exists for Wood County.
The 6:15 p.m. Tue, Mar 5 Lucas County forecast for overnight is:
Tonight: Snow likely. Snow accumulation 1 to 2 inches. Lows in the upper 20s. Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.
The 3:39 p.m. Tue, Mar 5 Winter Weather Advisory statement for Wood County says:
moderate to heavy snow associated with
this storm will cross the area tonight ending from west to east
wednesday morning. there will be a tight gradient in the snow
amounts... from heavy snow across central ohio to little or no
snow near lake erie.
Update: 9:00 a.m., Wed, Mar 6, 2013: This morning in Toledo began with partly sunny skies. We received no snow. Excellent. No slop to deal with now. We still have some scattered piles of ice/snow pack from last week, but the ground is mostly clear of snow, except in shady areas. 9:00 a.m. Toledo temps are in the low 30s. Toledo forecast issued this morning shows warming temps:
Today: Partly cloudy this morning...then becoming mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Friday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s.
NWS Stmnt Mon, Mar 4 3:03am
urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
303 am est mon mar 4 2013
.an area of low pressure over the northern plains tonight will
move southeast across ohio late tuesday and tuesday night. snow
associated with this storm will spread across the area tuesday
afternoon. periods of moderate to heavy snow will be possible
tuesday evening and night. this may be the largest snowfall so far
this winter for much of the watch area.
ohz003-006>008-017>019-027>031-036>038-047-041615-
/o.new.kcle.ws.a.0002.130305t1800z-130306t1700z/
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-hancock-seneca-huron-wyandot-crawford-
richland-ashland-wayne-marion-morrow-holmes-knox-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...findlay...tiffin...norwalk...upper sandusky...carey...
bucyrus...mansfield...ashland...wooster...marion...mount gilead...
millersburg...mount vernon
303 am est mon mar 4 2013
...winter storm watch in effect from tuesday afternoon through
wednesday morning...
the national weather service in cleveland has issued a winter
storm watch...which is in effect from tuesday afternoon through
wednesday morning.
- accumulations... 6 to 9 inches. the greatest amounts are expected
south of a line from bowling green to wooster. snowfall totals
will drop off quickly further north.
- timing...snow will overspread the watch area tuesday afternoon
with the heaviest snow expected tuesday evening. the snow will
taper off from west to east on wednesday.
- winds...northeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
- impacts...an accumulation of snow could make for difficult
travel. some blowing and drifting is likely as well.
- temperatures...in the lower 30s.
- visibilities...less than one half mile at times.
precautionary/preparedness actions...
a winter storm watch means that heavy snow is possible. if you
are within the watch area...remain alert to rapidly changing
weather conditions. stay tuned to the national weather service or
the local news media for the latest updates and possible
warnings.
Forecast Mon, Mar 4 6:35am
Today: Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds around 5 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. East winds around 5 mph.
Tuesday: Cloudy...snow...mainly in the afternoon. Snow accumulation around an inch. Highs in the lower 30s. East winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of snow 90 percent.
Tuesday Night: Snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Northeast winds around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of snow 90 percent.
Wednesday: Snow likely. Highs in the mid 30s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of snow 60 percent.
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.
Friday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Saturday: Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Sunday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s.
NWS frcst disc Mon, Mar 4 6:48am
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
648 am est mon mar 4 2013
.short term /6 pm this evening through thursday night/...
have already issued a watch from the sw end of the area. this may
be a little overdone and expecting marginal warning criteria at
best. went with the watch since for most of the watch area this
could be the biggest event of the season. expect greatest accums
from fdy to mfd and south. have stretched the watch north into the
tol area for coordination purposes. there should be a sharp drop
off on snowfall totals on the northern end. will probably end up
with a warning for a handful of counties in the south with an
advisory further n. like the new 00z ecmwf and have followed it.
the nam supports this model so confidence is fairly high. the
models having been slowly trending further south with this storm
and if this trend continues may end up needing only advisories.
the snow should start tomorrow afternoon as it will take some time
to overcome the dry ne to e flow at the surface. the snow should
peak in intensity during the evening hours and then quickly taper
off from west to east early wednesday. if the models are correct
much of nw pa could end up dry. not comfortable cutting the
bologna that close so will maintain at least chance wording. by
wednesday dry weather should prevail with high pressure building
over the area thursday and thursday night as well. so in
summary... expecting a sharp snowfall gradient with maybe a couple
inches east of kcle to around 6 inches south of u.s 30.
have used a blend of guidance temps.
.long term /friday through sunday/...
strong high pressure will be over the region on friday beneath a
ridge building aloft. after a cool start to the day...temperatures
will recover to near normal values in the low 40s with partly to
mostly sunny skies. the exception to this will be ne oh/nw pa where
northerly flow off the lake will limit highs to the upper 30s for
another day. warming trend will continue on saturday as winds shift
around to the south and warm advection increases.
model differences increase over the weekend with the evolution of
the closed upper low over the western states. the ecmwf and gem hold
onto a split upper level pattern longer with a weak cold front
brushing the eastern great lakes late saturday while the upper low
remains near the 4 corners region. the gfs is much faster to eject
energy out of the upper low and try to phase with the northern
stream. preference lies with the split flow which will result in
warming through the weekend with the next good chance of
precipitation holding off until early next week.
NWS Stmnt Mon, Mar 4 3:45pm
urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
345 pm est mon mar 4 2013
.an area of low pressure over the northern plains move to the
ohio valley late tuesday and tuesday night. moderate to heavy snow
associated with this storm will spread across the area tuesday
afternoon and continue into early wednesday morning.
ohz003-006>008-018-019-031-038-050445-
/o.upg.kcle.ws.a.0002.130305t1800z-130306t1700z/
/o.new.kcle.ww.y.0009.130305t2100z-130306t1700z/
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-seneca-huron-wayne-holmes-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...tiffin...norwalk...wooster...millersburg
345 pm est mon mar 4 2013
...winter weather advisory in effect from 4 pm tuesday to noon
est wednesday...
the national weather service in cleveland has issued a winter
weather advisory for snow...which is in effect from 4 pm tuesday
to noon wednesday.
- accumulations...3 to 6 inches.
- timing...snow will overspread the area tuesday during the late
afternoon or evening with the heaviest snow expected tuesday
night. the snow will taper off wednesday morning.
- winds...northeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
- impacts...an accumulation of snow could make for difficult
travel on untreated roads. some blowing and drifting is likely
as well.
- temperatures...in the upper 20s and lower 30s.
- visibilities...less than one half mile at times.
precautionary/preparedness actions...
a winter weather advisory is issued for moderate snow amounts as
well as blowing snow. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for
further details or updates.
Forecast Mon, Mar 4 3:36pm
Tonight: Partly cloudy this evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. East winds around 5 mph.
Tuesday: Cloudy. Snow likely by late afternoon. Snow accumulation less than an inch. Highs in the lower 30s. East winds 5 to 10 mph...becoming northeast around 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of snow 60 percent.
Tuesday Night: Snow likely. Snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Lows in the mid 20s. Northeast winds around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow. Highs in the mid 30s. North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
NWS Stmnt Tue, Mar 5 3:46am
urgent - winter weather message
national weather service cleveland oh
346 am est tue mar 5 2013
.an area of low pressure will move up the ohio valley today and
tonight. moderate to heavy snow associated with this storm will
spread across the area this afternoon and continue into early
wednesday morning.
ohz003-006>008-018-019-031-032-038-051645-
/o.con.kcle.ww.y.0009.130305t2100z-130306t1700z/
lucas-wood-ottawa-sandusky-seneca-huron-wayne-stark-holmes-
including the cities of...toledo...bowling green...port clinton...
fremont...tiffin...norwalk...wooster...canton...millersburg
346 am est tue mar 5 2013
...winter weather advisory remains in effect from 4 pm this
afternoon to noon est wednesday...
- accumulations...3 to 5 inches of snow.
- timing...snow will overspread the area today during the late
afternoon or evening with the heaviest snow expected tonight.
the snow will taper off wednesday morning.
- winds...northeast 15 to 25 mph.
- impacts...an accumulation of snow could make for difficult
travel on untreated roads. some blowing and drifting is likely
as well.
- temperatures...in the lower 30s.
- visibilities...less than one half mile at times.
precautionary/preparedness actions...
a winter weather advisory is issued for moderate snow amounts as
well as blowing snow. stay tuned to noaa weather radio for
further details or updates.
Forecast Tue, Mar 5 11:49am
This Afternoon: Cloudy. Highs in the mid 30s. East winds around 15 mph.
Tonight: Snow likely. Snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Lows in the upper 20s. Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow in the morning. Highs in the mid 30s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph...becoming north 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of snow 40 percent.
Hzrd Outlook Tue, Mar 5 4:17pm
hazardous weather outlook
national weather service cleveland oh
417 pm est tue mar 5 2013
ohz003-007-009>011-020>023-033-062130-
lucas-ottawa-erie oh-lorain-cuyahoga-medina-summit-portage-trumbull-
mahoning-
417 pm est tue mar 5 2013
this hazardous weather outlook is for north central
ohio...northeast ohio and northwest ohio.
.day one...tonight.
snow may accumulate 1 to 4 inches tonight with the heaviest
amounts mainly south of the turnpike.
Tue, Mar 5 aft/eve stmnts
Wood County
Wood
Winter Weather Advisory
Statement as of 3:39 PM EST on March 05, 2013
... Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 7 PM this
evening to noon EST Wednesday...
- accumulations... 3 to 5 inches.
- Timing... the heaviest snow will occur overnight. The snow will
taper off Wednesday morning.
- Winds... northeast 15 to 20 mph.
- Impacts... an accumulation of snow could make for difficult
travel on untreated roads. Some blowing and drifting snow is
likely as well.
- Temperatures... around 30.
- Visibilities... less than one half mile at times.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Winter Weather Advisory is issued for moderate snow amounts as
well as blowing snow. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for
further details or updates.
Hancock County
Hancock
Winter Storm Warning
Statement as of 3:39 PM EST on March 05, 2013
... Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until noon EST
Wednesday...
- accumulations... 4 to 8 inches.
- Timing... the heaviest snow will occur tonight. The snow will
taper off from west to east early Wednesday morning.
- Winds... northeast 15 to 25 mph.
- Impacts... snow will be heavy at times this evening and will make
for difficult travel. Some blowing and drifting snow is likely
in open areas.
- Temperatures... in the upper 20s.
- Visibilities... less than one half mile at times.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Winter Storm Warning is issued when severe winter weather is
expected. If you will be traveling in the warning area you should
prepare for difficult travel. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio
for further details or updates.
Hardin County
Hardin
Winter Storm Warning
Statement as of 6:20 PM EST on March 05, 2013
... Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until 1 PM EST
Wednesday...
- hazard types... snow... with heavy snow late this evening into
early Wednesday morning.
- Accumulations... snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches.
- Timing... areas of rain will change over to snow this evening.
The heaviest snow is expected to fall late this evening into
early Wednesday morning. Snow will continue until around
sunrise Wednesday.
- Impacts... hazardous travel conditions are expected due to
reduced visibilities and snow accumulations.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
Remember... a Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe
winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Significant
amounts of snow are forecast that will make travel dangerous.
Only travel in an emergency. If you must travel... keep an extra
flashlight... food... and water in your vehicle in case of an
emergency.
Links
NWS products for the Toledo area:
- Lucas County Zone Forecast and Toledo Express Airport conditions
- Hazardous Weather Outlook
- Area Forecast Discussion
Map of watches, warnings, and advisories:
