Toledo Talk

Severe Weather - July 1st

Eastward moving MCS / bowing line entering NW OH now. This land is producing consistent reports of 65-70 mph winds and embedded tornadoes. Svr Watch is up to account for this.

DISCUSSION...MOST INTENSE PART OF LONG-LIVED/DAMAGING QLCS HAS SHOWN
SOME WEAKENING IN PAST HOUR...BUT STILL IS PRODUCING OCNL SVR GUSTS
IN ERN PORTIONS WW 381. ALTHOUGH GEN TREND SHOULD CONTINUE TO FAVOR
DISORGANIZATION AS COMPLEX MOVES INTO PROGRESSIVELY LESS INSTABILITY
AND LARGER CINH...FORCED ASCENT ALONG LEADING EDGE OF ITS COLD POOL
MAY KEEP NEAR-SFC INFLOW PARCELS INVOLVED...ESPECIALLY OVER SERN
LOWER MI AND NWRN OH WHERE 70S F DEW POINTS ARE EVIDENT. AS
SUCH...DAMAGING-WIND THREAT MAY CONTINUE AS FAR E AS DETROIT METRO
AND WRN PORTIONS LAKE ERIE.

created by JustaSooner on Jul 01, 2014 at 02:13:05 am     Comments: 10

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Comments ... #

The weather radar alarm sounded around 1:45 a.m.

The first line of storms fizzled in northern IN and western MI late Monday night, but the second line that was located in northern IL late Monday night appeared like it was going to hold up, so it was no surprise that the weather radio alarm sounded.

The forward motion of these storms is 55 to 60 mph. The drag produced by these storms is enough to cause damage.

Source...trained weather spotters reported widespread 70 mph winds in western Paulding County Ohio.

As of 2:28 a.m., all counties from south central MI to west central OH are at least partially warned.

posted by jr on Jul 01, 2014 at 02:31:41 am     #  

Excerpts from the 1:24 a.m. Storm Prediction Center mesoscale discussion the preceded the watch:

a well-developed bowing line segment moving quickly to
the east at 40 to 45 kt will continue to affect areas ewd along a
gradient of moderate instability across nw oh and se lower mi. sfc
dewpoints ahead of the line are in the lower 70s f along and
southeast of an outflow boundary located across wrn lower mi that is
enhancing lift. in addition to the moist boundary layer...the
detroit wsr-88d vwp shows a unidirectional wind profile with 0-6 km
shear near 50 kt. this should be supportive a wind damage threat as
the line moves to the east.

posted by jr on Jul 01, 2014 at 02:36:36 am     #  

Fulton and Henry counties are warned:

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Statement as of 2:38 AM EDT on July 01, 2014
The National Weather Service in northern Indiana has issued a

  • Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... eastern Defiance County in Northwest Ohio... Fulton County in Northwest Ohio... Henry County in Northwest Ohio... northeastern Paulding County in west central Ohio... eastern Williams County in Northwest Ohio...
  • until 315 am EDT
  • at 235 am EDT...severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Montpelier to Defiance to 6 miles northwest of Continental...and moving east at 45 mph.

Hazard...70 mph wind gusts.

Source...trained weather spotters.

Impact...expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to Mobile homes...roofs and outbuildings.

  • Severe thunderstorms will be near... Archbold around 250 am EDT. Napoleon and Holgate around 255 am EDT. Wauseon around 300 am EDT. Liberty Center and Deshler around 305 am EDT. Delta and McClure around 310 am EDT. Swanton around 315 am EDT.

Other locations in the warning include Standley...Jewell... Independence...zone...Elmira...Burlington...Ridgeville Corners... Pleasant Bend...Okolona and New Bavaria.

This includes Interstate 80 90 in Ohio between mile markers 13 and 48.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

This is an extremely dangerous situation. These storms are producing widespread wind damage across Northwest Ohio. Seek shelter now inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows.

posted by jr on Jul 01, 2014 at 02:42:11 am     #  

3:00 a.m. radar snapshot:

posted by jr on Jul 01, 2014 at 03:07:25 am     #  

Lucas and Wood counties are warned.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Statement as of 3:06 AM EDT on July 01, 2014
The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a

  • Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Hancock County in Northwest Ohio Lucas County in Northwest Ohio Wood County in Northwest Ohio
  • until 400 am EDT
  • at 305 am EDT...National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a line of severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. These storms were located along a line extending from 17 miles northwest of Sylvania to 32 miles southwest of Rawson...and moving east at 45 mph.
  • Locations impacted include... Custar... Waterville... Sylvania... Toledo... Findlay... Bowling Green... Whitehouse... Weston... McComb... Holland... Rawson...

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

This is a dangerous storm. Seek shelter inside now and stay away from windows.

posted by jr on Jul 01, 2014 at 03:08:40 am     #  

Rain-wise, the line continues to weaken rapidly as it approaches Toledo, and the forward motion has dropped to 45 mph. The immediate Toledo area may get lucky. It appears worse in southern Michigan.

posted by jr on Jul 01, 2014 at 03:23:47 am     #  

So, did it storm much at all in Toledo? There were a few raindrops on my car, but the driveway was already dry by 8am.
If it stormed, I slept right through it. When I went to bed, there was a pretty nasty looking line of storms at the Indiana border.

posted by JeepMaker on Jul 01, 2014 at 10:05:09 am     #  

I think I woke up to Thunder at some point early this morning but didn't see the time and fell back to sleep. I woke up and thought, I sure hope it stops raining to let the dogs out before work. LOL

posted by stooks on Jul 01, 2014 at 10:33:00 am     #  

Last night, I was awakened by the sound of thunder. How far away from my house it was, I questioned. Oh well, I just hummed Roses are Red and tried to get back to sleep, but I couldnt help thinking: isn't it odd how the weather in the night moves?

posted by BulldogBuckeye on Jul 01, 2014 at 05:14:19 pm     #   1 person liked this

I know I was singing in the rain when the house began to twitch and then somewhere over the rainbow it was like thunder and lightning so at midnight I just went to the Oasisand said goodnight Irene.

posted by SherryET on Jul 01, 2014 at 11:55:54 pm     #