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Senate
Democrat targets
Republican targets
House
Democrat targets
Republican targets
Governor
Oct 12 polls
Candidates and Issues

November 2006 Election

If you're a political junkie that will be keeping score on election night, here are some campaigns to watch. The Democrats need to win 15 GOP-held House seats and six in the Senate for control. Visit Pollster.com to see how the races are trending.

25 Republican House seats are contested in five states: Connecticut, Indiana, New York, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Senate

Democrat targets

  • Pennsylvania Rick Santorum (R) - Bob Casey Jr (D)
  • Rhode Island Lincoln Chafee (R) - Sheldon Whitehouse (D)
  • Montana Conrad Burns (R) - Jon Tester (D)
  • Ohio Mike DeWine (R) - Sherrod Brown (D)
  • Tennessee Bob Corker (R) - Harold Ford Jr (D)
  • Missouri Jim Talent (R) - Claire McCaskill (D)
  • Virginia George Allen (R) - Jim Webb (D)
  • Arizona Jon Kyl (R) - Jim Pederson (D)

Republican targets

  • New Jersey Bob Menendez (D) - Tom Kean Jr (R)
  • Maryland Ben Cardin (D) - Michael Steele (R)
  • Washington Maria Cantwell (D) - Mike McGavick (R)
  • Minnesota Amy Klobuchar (D) - Mark Kennedy (R)

2006 Senate Forecast


House

Democrat targets

District Status Republican Democrat
AZ-08Lean Dem Graf Giffords
CO-07Lean Dem O'Donnell Perlmutter
FL-16Lean Dem Foley Mahoney
IN-08Lean Dem Hostettler Ellsworth
IN-09Lean Dem Sodrel Hill
IA-01Lean Dem Whalen Braley
OH-18Lean Dem Padgett Space
TX-22Lean Dem Write-ins Lampson
CT-02 Toss-up / Lean Dem Simmons Courtney
IN-02 Toss-up / Lean Dem Chocola Donnelly
NC-11 Toss-up / Lean Dem Taylor Shuler
PA-06 Toss-up / Lean Dem Gerlach Murphy
WA-08 Toss-up / Lean Dem Reichert Burner
CT-04 Toss-up Shays Farrell
IL-06 Toss-up Roskam Duckworth
KY-04 Toss-up Davis Lucas
NY-24 Toss-up Meier Acuri
OH-01 Toss-up Chabot Cranley
PA-07 Toss-up Weldon Sestak
PA-10 Toss-up Sherwood Carney
WI-08 Toss-up Gard Kagen
VA-02 Toss-up Drake Kellam
CO-04 Toss-up / Lean Rep Musgrave Paccione
CT-05 Toss-up / Lean Rep Johnson Murphy
FL-22 Toss-up / Lean Rep Shaw Klein
MN-06 Toss-up / Lean Rep Bachmann Wetterling
NV-02 Toss-up / Lean Rep Heller Derby
NM-01 Toss-up / Lean Rep Wilson Madrid
OH-15 Toss-up / Lean Rep Pryce Kilroy
PA-08 Toss-up / Lean Rep Fitzpatrick Murphy
AZ-01 Lean Rep Renzi Simon
AZ-05 Lean Rep Hayworth Mitchell
CA-11 Lean Rep Pombo McNerney
FL-13 Lean Rep Buchanan Jennings
KY-03 Lean Rep Northup Yarmuth
MN-01 Lean Rep Gutknecht Walz
NV-03 Lean Rep Porter Hafen
NH-02 Lean Rep Bass Hodes
NY-20 Lean Rep Sweeney Gillibrand
NY-25 Lean Rep Walsh Maffei
NY-29 Lean Rep Kuhl Massa
OH-02 Lean Rep Schmidt Wulsin
CA-04 Likely Rep Doolittle Brown
CA-50 Likely Rep Bilbray Busby
ID-01 Likely Rep Sali Grant
IL-10 Likely Rep Kirk Seals
IA-02 Likely Rep Leach Loebsack
NJ-07 Likely Rep Ferguson Stender
NY-19 Likely Rep Kelly Hall
NY-26 Likely Rep Reynolds Davis
NC-08 Likely Rep Hayes Kissel
PA-04 Likely Rep Hart Altmire
WY-AL Likely Rep Cubin Trauner

Republican targets

District Status Republican Democrat
GA-12 Lean Dem Burns Barrow
IA-03 Lean Dem Lamberti Boswell
IL-08 Lean Dem McSweeney Bean
TX-17 Lean Dem Taylor Edwards
WV-01 Lean Dem Wakim Mollohan
VT-AL Lean Dem Rainville Welch
GA-08 Likely Dem Collins Marshall
OH-06 Likely Dem Blasdel Wilson

2006 House Forecast


Governor

  • Ohio Ken Blackwell (R) - Ted Strickland (D)
  • Michigan Jennifer Granholm (D) - Dick DeVos (R)
  • Colorado Bill Ritter (D) - Bob Beauprez (R)

Oct 12 polls

The following polling data as of October 12, 2006 for the House races is from http://www.majoritywatch.com and is summarized by MyDD. The first sixteen are Democrat pickups, which are listed in bold text.

  • NY-26: Davis (D) 56%--40% Reynolds (R)
  • OH-15: Kilroy (D) 53%--41% Pryce (R)
  • NY-24: Arcuri (D) 53%--42% Mieir (R)
  • OH-18: Space (D) 51%--42% Padgett (R)
  • PA-07: Sestak (D) 52%--44% Weldon (R)
  • NM-01: Madrid (D) 52%--44% Wilson (R)
  • NC-11: Shuler (D) 51%--43% Taylor (R)
  • NC-08: Kissel (D) 51%--44% Hayes (R)
  • PA-06: Murphy (D) 52%--46% Gerlach (R)
  • MN-06: Wetterling (D) 50%--45% Bachmann (R)
  • IN-02: Donnelly (D) 50%--46% Chocola (R)
  • AZ-01: Simon (D) 50%--46% Renzi (R)
  • OH-02: Wulsin (D) 48%--45% Schmidt (R)
  • FL-13: Jennings (D) 47%--44% Buchannan (R)
  • WI-08: Kagen (D) 48%--46% Gard (R)
  • IA-02: Loebsack (D) 48%--47% Leach (R)
  • KY-03: Yarmuth (D) 48%--48% Northup (R)
  • IL-06: Duckworth (D) 47%--47% Roskam (R)
  • CO-07: Perlmutter (D) 47%--47% O'Donell (R)
  • MN-01: Gutknecht (R) 48%--47% Walz (D)
  • VA-02: Drake (R) 48%--46% Kellam (D)
  • NJ-07: Ferguson (R) 48%--46% Stender (D)
  • NY-03: King (R) 48%--46% Mejas (D)
  • WA-08: Reichert (R) 48%--45% Burner (D)
  • KY-04: Davis (R) 49%--46% Lucas (D)
  • VA-10: Wolf (R) 47%--42% Feder (D)
  • ID-01: Sali (R) 49%--43% Grant (D)
  • CT-05: Johnson (R) 52%--46% Murphy (D)
  • CA-04: Doolittle (R) 52%--44% Brown (D)
  • IL-14: Hastert (R) 52%--42% Leasch (D)
  • IL-19: Shimkus (R) 53%--36% Stover (D)

October 12, 2006 poll data by Pollster.com for the Senate races, which is summarized by MyDD.

  • Minnesota: Klobuchar (D) 51%--40% Kennedy (R)
  • Washington: Cantwell (D) 50%--41% McGavick (R)
  • Pennsylvania: Casey (D) 48%--39% Santorum (R)
  • Maryland: Cardin (D) 47%--40% Steele (R)
  • Montana: Tester (D) 49%--43% Burns (R)
  • Rhode Island: Whitehouse (D) 46%--40% Chafee (R)
  • Ohio: Brown (D) 47%--42% DeWine (R). Note: this average reflects the new Survey USA poll on the race.
  • New Jersey: Menendez (D) 45%--41% Kean (R)
  • Tennessee: Ford (D) 47%--44% Corker (R)
  • Missouri: McCaskill (D) 46%--44% Talent (R). Note: this average reflects the new Survey USA poll on the race.
  • Virginia: Allen (R) 48%--42% Webb (D)
  • Arizona: Kyl (R) 49%--40% Pederson (D)
  • Connecticut: Lieberman (CfL) 50%--39% Lamont (D)

Candidates and Issues

ABC News

From the Blade:

OHIO VOTE TOTALS

Updated at 5:21a.m., 98.21 percent reporting.
Projected winner - *

Governor
Ted Strickland (D) -- 2, 253,757 *
Ken Blackwell (R) -- 1,382,644

U.S. Senator
Sherrod Brown (D) -- 2,086,784*
Mike DeWine (R) -- 1,648,165

Attorney General
Marc Dann (D) – 1,882,157 *
Betty Montgomery (R) -- 1,711,767

Secretary of State
Jennifer Brunner (D) – 1,946,140 *
Greg Hartmann (R) -- 1,448,998

Treasurer
Richard Cordray (D) -- 2,055,975 *
Sandra O'Brien (R) -- 1,516,607

Auditor
Barbara Sykes (D) -- 1,744,481
Mary Taylor (R) -- 1,819,038 *

Justice of the Supreme Court
William O'Neill (D) -- 1,179,960
Terrence O'Donnell (R) -- 1,728,960 *

Justice of the Supreme Court
Ben Espy (D) – 1,344,386
Robert Cupp (R) -- 1,564,662 *

State Issue 2 (increase in state minimum wage)
For -- 1,976,556 *
Against -- 1,542,443

State Issue 3 (slot machines to raise $$ for college tuition)
For -- 1,574,866
Against -- 2,065,076 *

State Issue 4 (weak smoking ban)
For -- 1,304,067
Against -- 2,346,836 *

State Issue 5 (strong smoking ban)
For -- 2,133,251 *
Against -- 1,525,899

LUCAS COUNTY VOTE
Updated at 3:37a.m. with 100 percent of precincts reporting.

County Commissioner
Ben Konop (D) -- 87,583 *
George Sarantou – 48,785

County Auditor
Anita Lopez (D) – 74,981 *
Larry Kaczala (R) – 62,783

Toledo City Council (at-large)
Joe McNamara (D) – 25,993 *
Lourdes Santiago (D) – 22,497
Bob Vasquez (D) – 11,475
James Mohn (D) – 2,242
Dave Schulz (R) – 9,376
Dave Davison (I) – 2,242

Toledo Zoo (1-mill capital levy)
For – 82,418 *
Against – 56,807

COSI (0.167-mill operating levy)
For – 68,155
Against – 69,760 *

Children Services (1.4-mill levy)
For – 87,109 *
Against – 50,340

Emergency Services (0.7-mill)
For – 87,327 *
Against -- 49,276

created by jr on Oct 02, 2006 at 01:49:40 pm
updated by jr on Nov 08, 2006 at 10:47:15 am
    Comments: 0

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