According to this article on tax reciprocity 19,200 Toledoans work in neighboring communities. According to the Wikipedia article on Toledo, OH the population was estimated at 293,201 in 2008. The average family size was 3.04. If all 19,200 Toledoans take their families (if they have them) from Toledo, and move to the town where they work we might lose 58, 368 citizens. If the bottom limit are the poor that are here because they are close to their sources of income and places to spend it on then we could go as low as 54, 280 citizens (17.9% of the population listed above). So we could go between 234,800 and 54,280 citizens.
Can those who threaten to leave because of increased taxation make good on their threat? Will the taxes they save be lost to the higher prices they will pay for housing when they all bring pressure on the market? Will Toledo be left with just those who depend on government assistance to populate the city? And if the last happens is there a need to have the county seat here. Could Toledo become a “ghost-town” or at most an anemic successor to its former, robust self?
What would such a future Toledo be like? What would it look like? What it be like a model suggested for Detroit with urban villages surrounded by green space waiting to be developed?